Year | Total Days | Percentage |
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Flare Type | Probability (%) |
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C-Class | 0% |
M-Class | 0% |
X-Class | 0% |
Region | No. C-Flares | No. M-Flares | No. X-Flares | C Flare Prob. | M Flare Prob. | X Flare Prob. |
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A solar wind speed above 500 km/s is considered high and can significantly impact Earth's magnetosphere, potentially causing geomagnetic storms.
A density reading above 10 cm³ is considered high and can impact the Earth's magnetosphere, potentially causing geomagnetic disturbances.
Kp < 5
Kp = 5 (G1)
Kp = 6 (G2)
Kp = 7 (G3)
Kp = 8, 9- (G4)
Kp = 9o (G5)
CME iCoronal Mass Ejection (CME) number | Onset iThe earliest indication of the CME's liftoff time | Dur. iThe duration of the CME's liftoff in hours | Ang. iThe principal angle of the CME in degrees | Width iThe angular width of the CME in degrees | Med. Vel. iThe median velocity of the CME in km/s | Vel. Var. iThe variation (1 sigma) of velocity across the CME's width | Min. Vel. iThe lowest velocity detected within the CME in km/s | Max. Vel. iThe highest velocity detected within the CME in km/s | Halo? iIndicates whether the CME is classified as a halo CME | Video iPlay the video of the CME event |
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Bz (nT): This is the vertical component of the interplanetary magnetic field. Changes in Bz can indicate solar storms affecting Earth's magnetic field.
Phi (gsm): This measures the angle of the magnetic field in the solar wind. It helps understand the direction of the magnetic field.
Proton Density (p/cm³): This shows the number of protons in a cubic centimeter of solar wind. High density can signal increased solar activity.
Proton Speed (km/s): This measures the speed of the solar wind protons. Faster speeds can mean stronger solar wind impacting Earth.
Proton Temperature (K): This indicates the temperature of the solar wind protons. Higher temperatures are associated with more active solar regions.
09:00 UTC, Sept 16, 2024
Solar Activity: The X4.5-class solar flare on September 14, 2024, from Active Region (AR) 3825 remains one of the most intense solar flares of cycle 25. The coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with this flare is expected to impact Earth's magnetic field today, September 16, 2024. This event will likely trigger a G3 (strong) geomagnetic storm, potentially disrupting satellite communications and power systems. AR 3825 continues to be a source of heightened activity, with more M-class solar flares expected in the coming days. Despite the recent activity, the sunspot count is falling -- down to just 68 today.
Aurora Alerts: The anticipated G3 geomagnetic storm today and tomorrow creates favorable conditions for aurora sightings. The CME's impact could result in auroras visible as far south as northern regions of the U.S. (such as Michigan and Pennsylvania), Canada, and across northern Europe. Those under clear skies on September 16 and 17 should have good chances of seeing the light show.